Ezekiel J. Emanuel, Healthcare, Guaranteed: A Simple, Secure Solution for America

Healthcare, Guaranteed is a set of talking points, and a sales pitch. Ezekiel Emanuel wants to sell us on his Guaranteed Healthcare Access Plan. It promises a radical simplification of the American healthcare-delivery system. First, everyone would be entitled to basic health care, and could pay for additional care beyond the basics. Every citizen would be given a card entitling him to coverage through a qualified insurance provider. In order to keep costs under control, Emanuel’s plan would create an Institute for Technology and Outcomes Assessment that would decide whether new technologies and medicines are beneficial, and would publish statistics on the various health plans’ success at creating healthy patients. It would be funded through a 10% value-added tax, the proceeds of which couldn’t be used to fund any other program.
Finally, central to the whole thing is a National Health Board and twelve regional Health Boards patterned on the Federal Reserve; the health boards would approve insurance plans or kick them out. Like the Fed, the Health Board’s advertised virtue is its insulation from politics. Having just read a biography of Dick Cheney, who was old friends with Alan Greenspan and met regularly with the man in private, I have my doubts about this purported insulation.
Much more importantly, it strikes me as wrongheaded, depressing, and insufficiently principled to want to take power away from the democratically elected branches of government because of the failings of politics; why not just give up on the whole democratic process, then? I can certainly understand the justification: the Fed does control, and the Health Board would control, vast swaths of the economy; one dollar in every six goes to health care under our current broken system. While not denying the logic here, I’d like to see it applied to other important sectors. The Department of Defense, for instance. Surely we wouldn’t want something as sacred as the security of our homeland to be subject to bribery, wherein the states that manufacture new weapons systems or house military bases are chosen on the basis of political power? Surely not. Defense should be walled off from those who would weaken our country in the name of politics.
I hope others find it as disheartening as I do that the first thing politicians often want to do, when confronting a new problem, is to wall it off from their own work. Emanuel is not a politician, we must note — he’s the Chair of the Department of Bioethics at The Clinical Center of the National Institutes of Health with a political-philosophy Ph.D. from Harvard and an M.D. from the same university’s medical school — but this apolitical, technocratic dream is a common one. Tom Daschle (who is a politician, and will probably be Obama’s Secretary of HHS) lays out the same dream near the start of his book Critical.
Healthcare, Guaranteed works better as a series of talking points than as a detailed policy manual. First, it’s good to be reminded of exactly how broken our system is, and the various overlapping pieces that still fail to cover one in six of our countrymen: Medicare if you’re old, Medicaid if you’re poor, private insurance while you’re employed, the emergency room when you’re not, COBRA for a short window in between. And it’s good to be reminded of the consequences of this failure. People stay in jobs that they hate because they lose their safety net when they leave. People stay married because their spouse works and they don’t. Companies employ full-time staff just to sort through the details of competing health plans, thereby taking money away from the jobs that the companies actually specialize in; they’re software companies or automobile companies, after all, not health-insurance-picking companies. A rational system would take this burden out of the hands of companies and shift it onto some entity that specializes in doing it. (Though with that in mind, it’s worth looking to see whether companies already outsource HR. If not, why not? If so, then we have less reason to believe that the government needs to do this.)
Here, though, Emanuel again makes me uneasy: his plan would give the Institute for Technology and Outcomes Assessment the job of measuring medicines, technologies, and health. But doesn’t the FDA do that? Healthcare, Guaranteed doesn’t ask why the FDA is failing at its job. Read Marion Nestle’s What To Eat and Food Politics to understand some of the details there. The food industries have lobbied hard to hem in the FDA and make it less and less able to do its job. Insulating the FDA in some way from politics could certainly help here … but why would I — or any American who sees how his government works — expect Congress to construct a better system than the one we already have, when it can’t handle the system it’s already got? Here of course we get back to the politically insulated structure that Congress will apparently construct, and again I shake my head at Congress’s perception of its own fecklessness in the face of lobbying.
At some point I need details, specifically: how will the National Health Board be kept insulated from politics? If the Fed only has a lever or two to handle (mostly interest rates), I can see how it wouldn’t be the victim of much lobbying: just about as many people will probably want low interest rates as high ones. The new health administration, by contrast, will decide which medicines can be used and which insurance plans are available. That’s a lot of machinery and a lot of little gears. How exactly do we keep it under apolitical control?
These are the sorts of detail questions that Emanuel is loath to answer in Healthcare, Guaranteed. He considers his book ground-clearing, and suggests that thinking too much about the details is a strategy that opponents typically use so that nothing gets done. Perhaps so. Perhaps it’s best to start with what we want, aim for it, and let the details fill themselves in later. I have my doubts; the structure of government-as-she-is contains a lot of hard-won information that we ignore at our peril.
I think what Emanuel has in mind is something like what the Brits have in NICE. The FDA is supposed to judge whether a drug is safe and useful. Whereas an agency like NICE is supposed to ask the cost-effectiveness question: would we get sufficient bang for our buck if we fund this or that procedure, or make this or that drug available? The technical and ethical issues raised by this form of cost-effectiveness analysis are really interesting. I have several papers on this, so email me if you want them. A good book that describes trends in CEA and also offers an interesting alternative designed to avoid ethical problems in CEA is Erik Nord’s Cost-Value Analysis in Health Care: Making Sense out of QALYS.
BTW, I like the site’s new and appropriate URL.
Comment by Paul — February 5, 2009 @ 11:43 am
Even just tweaking the FDA’s standard, so that it’s measuring a new drug’s effectiveness against the best available drug, as opposed to against a placebo, would be a big step. A lot of drugs would never make it past that test.
It also just seems to me that in the real political world we live in, we should use a bureaucracy that has accumulated decades of experience with approving and rejecting drugs, rather than dispensing with that old bureaucracy and adding a new one. As a matter of fact, the FDA would probably not be deleted under the new regime; the NICE-style system would be added on. So then you’d either have turf wars, or incoherence (look at food policy as it’s practiced now, with both the USDA and FDA at work regulating), or would need a third agency to stand astride the FDA and NICE. We have a few examples of the third-agency model: Homeland Security and the intelligence czar. Neither seems to have worked very well.
All of this is maybe too inside-baseball, but the trouble with Emanuel’s book is that he’s not inside-basebally enough. In fact, I have another post brewing (having finished Emanuel’s book and Daschle’s) on the high-modernist impulses that guide all of these people. They seek “rationality,” by which they mean a blank slate with a pretty structure built on top. For reasons I’ll elaborate, this is worrisome at the very least.
Comment by slaniel — February 5, 2009 @ 11:50 am
Oh, I agree with all of that. I was just pointing to the British experience as a possible object of study to see how practicable such an agency could be. As I understand it, NICE is pretty politically insulated. But this is not necessarily a good thing, as you point out. I have no ideas of my own about how health care rationing should be carried out when we finally get a system that works for people instead of the health insurance industry. If I recall, Krugman’s NYRB piece on healthcare criticized Henry Aaron for being a rationing fetishist: Krugman basically said that Aaron was focusing too much on a future problem, when we have problems enough now as it is. I think this was unfair. I haven’t read Aaron’s book, but rationing is an important problem that we will ALWAYS have to face. There is always more a society could do healthwise, and we’ll have to make priorities. It seems positively irresponsible to ignore the issues that arise in a specific priority setting context, simply because we’re not in that particular context now.
In any case, I’m just blabbering. I agree that we need to be inside-baseball-y, and I’m certainly not able to call balls and strikes with my current limited understanding.
Comment by Paul — February 5, 2009 @ 12:01 pm
I didn’t know about the Krugman piece. As a second-tier member of the Ancient Hermetical Order Of Krugman Fanboys, this is surely something I should know about; I may well be excommunicated for not knowing about it. The link is here: http://www.nybooks.com/articles/18802
I’ll dutifully it and read it later. Thanks for the tip.
Comment by slaniel — February 5, 2009 @ 12:03 pm
Looks like Krugman liked the Aaron book more than I thought.
Comment by Paul — February 10, 2009 @ 1:49 pm
[...] EzekielHealthcare, Guaranteed: A Simple, Secure Solution for America (finished 1 [...]
Pingback by Stephen Laniel’s Unspecified Bunker » Tom Daschle with Scott S. Greenberger and Jeanne M. Lambrew, Critical: What We Can Do About the Health-Care Crisis — February 16, 2009 @ 5:02 pm