“The object of power is power” — October 8, 2010

“The object of power is power”

Reading documentation of a case where the Obama Administration continues to subject a man to indefinite detention on the basis of highly unreliable evidence, one has to think of [book: 1984]:

> The Party seeks power entirely for its own sake. We are not interested in the good of others; we are interested solely in power. Not wealth or luxury or long life or happiness: only power, pure power. What pure power means you will understand presently. We are different from all the oligarchies of the past, in that we know what we are doing. All the others, even those who resembled ourselves, were cowards and hypocrites. The German Nazis and the Russian Communists came very close to us in their methods, but they never had the courage to recognize their own motives. They pretended, perhaps they even believed, that they had seized power unwillingly and for a limited time, and that just round the corner there lay a paradise where human beings would be free and equal. We are not like that. We know that no one ever seizes power with the intention of relinquishing it. Power is not a means, it is an end. One does not establish a dictatorship in order to safeguard a revolution; one makes the revolution in order to establish the dictatorship. The object of persecution is persecution. The object of torture is torture. The object of power is power.

James Hamilton-Paterson, Cooking with Fernet Branca — October 7, 2010

James Hamilton-Paterson, Cooking with Fernet Branca

Plum-purple background. Book title in yellow, blockish, mildly comical font. Author's name in white. In the foreground is a bottle of the beverage named in the title, next to some tomatoes onions; they look to be sitting on a rough-hewn wooden table. In the distance is a villa on a hill with a few big pointy trees nearby. All of this is painted, by the way, in a rough -- maybe Photoshopped-to-look-rough -- way.

Roger Ebert is fond of saying that a movie is not about what it is about; it’s about how it’s about what it’s about. Likewise, what’s great about [book: Cooking with Fernet Branca] is not that it’s about meals made of dog and cat, but how it’s about meals made of dog and cat.

This is one of the most satisfying books I’ve read in a very long time, start to finish. Not only is it one of the funniest things that I wager you’ll read this year; it’s also enjoyably written from the perspective of unreliable narrators. In fact a lot of what’s funny and inventive about it is the wildly different takes that both narrators have on the same events.

Marta and Gerry occupy neighboring villas on the top of some remote Italian mountain, each looking for solitude for his or her own reasons. Gerry is a writer, pounding out ghostwritten biographies of vapid celebrities (race-car drivers, downhill skiers); Marta composes scores for artistically important films. From Gerry’s perspective, Marta is some frumpy Eastern European peasant with a vague command of English. From her perspective, Gerry is an insular, probably homosexual Brit with a strange, characteristically British absence where his bottom should be. Unexplained helicopters visit Marta in the dead of night. Gerry interviews one of his emptyheaded celebrities on the night of one of these helicopter arrivals, and his credulous-hippie mind swears that Marta has been visited by an alien. The confusions pile up between Marta and Gerry.

Most of what’s hilarious about [book: Cooking with Fernet Branca], though, has nothing to do with a comedy of errors. Indeed, I think most of the plot is incidental; it serves as ornamentation draping off the outlandish stylistic frame and one of the absurd central premises of the book — namely, that you can cook anything with Fernet Branca.

Fernet, for those of you who are unware, is an Italian after-dinner bitters which the inestimable mrz tells me is used in Italian households to soothe an upset stomach; it quite often pulls off this trick by doubling as an emetic. (Personally, I love the stuff, and I find that it does wonders for the digestion.) Fernet shows up on most every page of Hamilton-Paterson’s book; not only does Gerry toss it liberally into all his dishes, but the characters consume quantities of the stuff that are well beyond the realm of reasonableness. [1] Glasses, bottles, cases of the stuff get slurped down throughout the course of this book — with, it must be said, truth-to-life about just how devastating that much Fernet would be to your head. Among the recipes containing Fernet:

  • Garlic and Fernet Branca Ice Cream, whose intended purpose is to make Marta get the point that she’s not welcome but instead awakens Gerry “with a series of awesome farts…on the ground by [his] front doorstep with dawn breaking all around.”
  • Rabbit in Cep Custard, containing “1 kg fresh rabbit chunks”
  • Alien Pie, containing “1kg smoked cat, off the bone”
  • Otter With Lobster Sauce, containing “1.5kg otter chunks”

These recipes are all, it seems to me, entirely possible, if horrifying. (Stay away from my cats.) I’m curious to what extent Hamilton-Paterson replicated them in his own kitchen.

Hamilton-Paterson’s sense of humor is wicked and completely tweaked. Some examples:

  1. On the plane just now I was toying with the idea of Poodles in Noodles. Who knows, its consonance may be more promising than the actuality and I’ll have to consult a Filipino friend of mine about it first. The same goes for Pekes in Leeks.

  2. Have you ever embarked on something that looked completely straightforward but which has turned out to be bafflingly technical? For instance, I was completely flummoxed some time ago in a dentist’s waiting room when trying to kill time with the crossword in the current number of [mag: JAPEDA], the [mag: Journal of the American Pedophilia Association] — a scholarly magazine I had not encountered before. … I labored in vain for half an hour, although it did occur to me later that American may spell “pyjamas” with an “a” in place of our “y”.

  3. Meanwhile, I have gone right off my beautiful idea of pears in Gorgonzola with cinnamon cream. It’s all Marta’s fault. Had she not drenched that putty ball of hers in the cinnamon cream I was experimenting with the other day it might still be a possibility. But the whole idea now reeks of linseed oil and bullying and has been ruined for me. Imagine Bach busy writing a soulful aria for the *Saint Matthew Passion* when in the street outside a butcher’s boy goes past whistling a popular ditty about three jolly swineherds. Suddenly poor old JSB realizes it’s the very tune he’s now writing, only much faster and in a major key. “God *damn*,” he mutters softly to himself as he slowly tears up the manuscript, having unwittingly had a preview of what in a hundred and fifty years will be known as the unconscious. That’s pretty much how I feel about the irreparable damage Marta has done my cinnamon cream.

I laughed constantly while reading this book — or, when on the T, where outright laughter is maybe frowned upon, I carried a devilish grin on my face at all times. Such a delight, this book. Go out, grab a copy, and enjoy the next few hours of your life.

[1] — (You drink maybe an ounce at a time. The people at Drink mixed me a flip based on it once. Looks like Cocktail Slut long ago discovered the Fernet Flip, as has Cocktail Chronicles.)

A cocktail I’m obsessed with and another one that is somewhat like the first but also different — October 5, 2010

A cocktail I’m obsessed with and another one that is somewhat like the first but also different

I’ve recently become obsessed with a cocktail they make at Drink called a Trinidad Sour (so named because Angostura bitters are from Trinidad). The recipe I use is

* 1 part Angostura bitters
* 1 part lemon juice
* 1 part rye. I’ve been looking around for 100-proof Rittenhouse Rye, but what I have on hand is 90-proof Russell’s Reserve and 80-proof Old Overholt; I think higher-proof ones wouldn’t hide so easily under the rest of the ingredients.
* 1 part orgeat. I use a brand called Ferrara, which sells it as ‘orzata’. Around these parts it’s available at Capone Foods (at least at the Cambridge location near Davis Square).

The recipe I started with used 3 parts orgeat, 3 parts bitters, 2 parts lemon juice and 1 part rye. Another variant used 2:2:2:1. I found that 1:1:1:1 suits me best; it’s a bit more astringent than the other recipes. Not that the Trinidad Sour is actually sweet; it’s really quite tart. It’s some bizarre magic trick whereby a full ounce or more of bitters lands in a cocktail that is … not bitter. One night I forgot to put in the orgeat; *that* was bitter. So the orgeat is the thing, I guess.

Last night Drink constructed for me a variant on the Trinidad Sour called Don’s Little Bitter, or DLB; it apparently originates at a pretentious bar I’ve been to in New York City called Please Don’t Tell, or PDT. Its recipe is

* 1 part Peychaud’s bitters
* 1 part Angostura orange bitters (available around here at The Boston Shaker, along with the Peychaud’s)
* 2 parts Angostura bitters
* 2 parts lemon juice
* 2 parts Fernet
* 2 parts simple syrup
* 4 parts Barbancourt 8-year rum

It’s like a Trinidad Sour, but you can taste the bitters much more decisively — still not overwhelmingly, but they peek out over the top just a bit. If I had more of them, or had mulled more over the one I had last night, I might be able to tell you more about it. Fernet, for instance, has a distinctive taste, and I imagine I should be able to spot its effects more.

(My buddy Jon and I have a longstanding, lighthearted debate going over whether Fernet is, as the kids say, “narst.” In my queue is a novel called [book: Cooking with Fernet Branca], which I gather is based around the absurdity of trying to cook with something which [newspaper: The New York Times] describes as “bottled bile.” Anyway, I really enjoy the stuff. After-dinner bitters are great for the stomach. Trust me on this. Or go buy a bottle.)

The idea of using more than a splash of bitters — of, in fact, making bitters central to the drink — is novel and awesome. I approve.

Anonymous Hedge Fund Manager with n+1, Diary of a Very Bad Year: Confessions of an Anonymous Hedge Fund Manager, and Satyajit Das, Traders, Guns & Money: Knowns and Unknowns in the Dazzling World of Derivatives — October 2, 2010

Anonymous Hedge Fund Manager with n+1, Diary of a Very Bad Year: Confessions of an Anonymous Hedge Fund Manager, and Satyajit Das, Traders, Guns & Money: Knowns and Unknowns in the Dazzling World of Derivatives

Red background. Title in black sans-serif capital letters, subtitle in white underneath. Silhouette of a businessman sitting on a folding chair, head in his hands. Behind him and to his left sits his briefcase, on which is written the words 'with n+1'.

Author, title, and subtitle written in white. The word 'money' is shot through with holes. In the background are several six-shooter bullet holders (what do you call those? I mean a collection of bullet chambers). In one of the chambers is a dollar bill; in another is the silhouette of a man running with a briefcase; in a third is a bullet

(__Attention conservation notice__: 1600 words reviewing two books from the perspective of securities traders. Run right out and read [book: Diary of a Very Bad Year], and skip Das.)

These books need to be reviewed together, because they overlap in a lot of ways. For one, the author of [book: Traders, Guns, & Money] is unbelievably self-aggrandizing, while the subject of [book: Diary of a Very Bad Year] is just literally unbelievable.

[book: Traders] came out in 2006, before the world had fully melted down, so it gets some credit for being out in front about how incomprehensible certain derivatives, particularly the famed Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) and Credit Default Swaps (CDSes) are. To review: a Collateralized Debt Obligation is essentially a piece of a mortgage (or some other asset backed by collateral, as opposed to something like credit-card debt). Typically these are assembled into “tranches,” which are groups of mortgages containing similar risk of default. If many mortgages default, one tranche — the “equity” tranche — gets wiped out first; its risk is therefore higher than that of the other tranches, so its return is correspondingly higher. As the defaults mount, the other tranches get wiped out in sequence. This is how you can end up with a collection of poor mortgages bundled into a security that gets labeled “AAA” (investment-grade): the later tranches, which are less likely to get wiped out, are AAA, while those which are first in line when the revolution comes are higher-risk. It looks like magic, but it’s actually sensible.

Mathematically, there are a few troubles with this. One is that you need to know some things about the correlation of the assets in the mortgage pool. That is, does knowing that one mortgage is in default tell you anything about whether another is in default? Suppose all the mortgages in your pool came from the same neighborhood; it’s likely that their defaults would be highly correlated. If the one mortgage defaulting means that all mortgages will default, then we say that their correlation is 1; if there’s absolutely no relation between whether one defaults and whether another does, then we say they have correlation zero. Obviously a lot depends on the correlation: if the correlation is 1 between the defaults of all the mortgages in your pool, then dividing into tranches doesn’t matter in the least: all mortgages will default at once, so all tranches will be wiped out at the same time, so it doesn’t make sense to call one tranch AAA and another junk. And it’s hard to estimate correlations when few people typically default on their mortgages. Recent experience suggests that correlation is near 0 most of the time, but near 1 when the economy is in a certain kind of recession; this is not helpful information. But in any case, you need to know the correlation if you hope to get any sense of how risky each tranche is. Since higher risk should yield higher return, you need to know the correlation to figure out what the yield on each tranche is.

A second, related problem with this sort of tranching is that it’s very sensitive to slight mis-estimation of the correlations. This is especially the case if you build new securities from a collection of CDOs, which are called “CDO-squared.” An excellent paper called “The Economics of Structured Finance” gives the clearest examples I’ve seen of this phenomenon. Bottom line: getting the correlations, or the individual default probabilities, just slightly wrong can drastically change the value of the security.

The people who assembled these complicated things are called “quants,” though [book: Traders, Guns & Money] and many other books make clear that complicated securities existed before quants did. So you’d think that [book: Traders, Guns & Money] would go easy on the quants. But no. Like a lot of books from the crisis, Satyajit Das likes to take cheap shots at the nerds hovering over their computers and their formulae. And like all the rest (I’m thinking, [foreign: inter alia], of [book: When Genius Failed], Roger Lowenstein’s depiction of the Long-Term Capital Management crisis), it misses the crucial question: maybe quantitative modeling is bad, but what’s the alternative? Does “going by gut feel” really have a better track record than using numbers?

Das’s own argument strongly suggests that the answer is no. [book: Traders, Guns & Money] is essentially a long litany of catastrophic explosions in the finance industry. Underlying all of them is the basic idea that you never destroy risk; you just shift it around. Or take the most recent mortgage meltdown. One problem seems to have been that the process went like this:

1. A bank issues a mortgage.
2. The bank immediately sells that mortgage to another company.
3. The company packages up many mortgages into tranched CDOs, as discussed.
4. The company constructs something called a Credit Default Swap (CDS) that’s sort of like, but importantly different from, an insurance policy. The CDS pays off if the mortgagee defaults. The company is now “hedged”: if they did the math right, they carry no risk at all — the insurance policy will cancel out any losses on the mortgages.
5. Lots of companies follow steps 1-4, so lots of CDOs and lots of CDSes go out.
6. CDOs and CDSes are profitable, so companies rush in to sell them, so banks are strongly encouraged to pump out mortgages as fast as they can. After all, they’re going to sell them right away, so they’ll hold no risk on their books but they’ll collect all the fees that go along with issuing mortgages.
7. Banks are supposed to identify good and bad credit risks; they’re the ones that are issuing the mortgages, after all. But what incentive do they have to identify those credit risks if they’ll be selling the mortgages just as soon as they can? They have no “skin in the game,” as the saying goes. So they start issuing mortgages to people who probably shouldn’t have them. They don’t tell this information to the CDO issuers; again, what incentive do they have to do so?
8. Mortgages start defaulting, and (to skip a bunch of steps) everything collapses.

Now the question for the class: which parts of 1-8 look to be the mathematicians’ fault? The mathematicians’ main nefarious role here, maybe, was to underestimate the default risk of a CDO. But they had nothing to do with the incentive structure that encouraged banks to issue junk mortgages. You can look through that list and find lots of failure points that have nothing to do with the geeks.

When it comes to doling out judgmentally wagging fingers, then, [book: Traders, Guns & Money] is on thin ice. Add in that Das is a remarkably self-serving author: whenever possible, he wants to convince you that he knew all along that finance was a bunch of hocus-pocus. He’s too cool for school, that Mr. Das, while all the rest of the industry are self-deluded assholes. The result is that [book: Traders] is an unsatisfying book that leaves me feeling icky. Its big strength is in describing, at a very detailed level, how various complicated securities work: swaps, swaptions, and the rest of the arsenal that we’ve become all too familiar with in the past couple years.

It was nice timing for me to move right from that to [book: Diary of a Very Bad Year]. The Anonymous Hedge-Fund Manager is everything that Satyajit Das is not. The HFM (as his interviewer at n+1 calls him) is erudite, calm, literary, and panoptic. He’s not stuck down in the muck of individual trades, although those are what he deals with day in and day out; instead he can take a broader view of the economy, and can identify when we should be scared and when we shouldn’t. He explains what commercial paper is, and why we should care when the CP market dries up.

He explains the contagious nature of financial crises, which is really the crucial detail to all of this. In earlier eras, the contagion was the sort of thing we see in [film: It’s a Wonderful Life]: word gets around that a bank is failing, and people line up at the doors to claim their money before it all disappears. So the New Deal created the FDIC, which guarantees that your money will be there if you come calling for it. The certainty that it will be there, as J.K. Galbraith noted in [book: Money: Whence It Came, Where It Went], assures that no one ever needs to run to the bank to check that it’s there. The modern version of banging on the bank’s doors is when there’s a run on an investment bank, which has nothing like the FDIC to insure it.

The HFM explains all of this with almost George Clooney levels of cool. He’s just too cool, too scholarly, too journalistic in his ability to explain complicated concepts to a lay audience. I have a hard time believing he exists; if he does, he needs to drop the anonymity and use his skills for the greater good. By the end of [book: Diary of a Bad Year], we find that the HFM has retired from New York City to Austin with his fiancée, so he’s got time. He’s used that time recently to sketch out his economic plans for Ezra Klein, so maybe he has a future as an educator. (I’m still not convinced that he’s real, even after writing for Klein. It seems entirely plausible to me that the HFM is a clever synthesis of the n+1 writers themselves.)

If you’re interested in the mechanics of constructing derivatives, by all means pick up the Das book. But the fact that the country even bothered to obsess about the details of swaptions and inverse floaters is a sign of great moral rot. Better to talk with the HFM, who unlike Das can see the forest for the trees.

Thomas Geoghegan, Were You Born on the Wrong Continent?: How the European Model Can Help You Get a Life — September 24, 2010

Thomas Geoghegan, Were You Born on the Wrong Continent?: How the European Model Can Help You Get a Life

Author's name in red mixed case at the top. Book title below in big all-caps black. Subtitle at the bottom in red mixed case. Background is stark white, and there's a big piece of American white bread in the middle. (The back cover has a photo of a gorgeous baguette.)

(__Attention conservation notice__: 1600 words — honestly, I don’t try to write this much; it just comes out — on the second book I’ve read by the labor lawyer and one-time Congressional candidate Tom Geoghegan. You can’t go wrong with that guy.)

The short way to summarize this book is “Tom Geoghegan [‘the names pronounced gay-gun, which suggests a talent for coalition building‘] goes to Germany and gets his labor-lawyer mind blown.” Germany sounds like heaven for workers: lots of vacation, lots of manufacturing jobs (precision-made German products are still the envy of the world), health insurance for everyone (of course), free education, etc., etc.

The thing you have to remember about Geoghegan, going into this book, is how monumentally sad he is about the state of U.S. labor, without being a wimp about it. Anyone who’s read his earlier [book: Which Side Are You On?: Trying to Be for Labor When It’s Flat on Its Back] — and everyone really, really needs to read that book — already knows this. Geoghegan’s been working as a labor lawyer for probably 30 or 40 years, at various times for the Mine Workers and the Teamsters. He seems to have known forever that labor is doomed, doomed, doomed, but unlike virtually all of us he’s continued to fight for it. He’s probably foregone a few million dollars in income by now, all so that he could fight for what he believes in. When Rahm Emanuel vacated his seat as the Congressman from Illinois’ fifth district, Geoghegan jumped into the race and became the darling of liberals everywhere. Sadly, he lost out to someone who will surely not fight for regular people nearly as much as he would have.

Now take this guy and bring him to Germany: unions cover a sizable fraction of the population, and there are works councils complementing the unions. The German welfare state has been in the making since Bismarck, with a sizable kick from the American New Dealers who ordered German companies to make nice with labor after World War II. It’s a labor lawyer’s dream.

Geoghegan stumbles through this dream with a mix of awe, confusion, and disbelief. Surely this can’t work. Surely this is going to be replaced soon enough by American-style capitalism, where few people trust that they’ll have jobs when they wake up the next morning. Because Americans absolutely lack job security, they work longer hours every year: you don’t want to be the guy who leaves at 6pm when all your coworkers are burning the midnight oil. If you get fired, there are plenty of people pounding at the gates to take your job. This leads to a very predictable downward spiral: we all work more just to avoid losing our jobs (not to mention raises, of which there are none).

A natural way out of this is some sort of coordination: either the union, or the government, or whoever, tells your company that it can’t make people work more than, say, 40 hours a week. This *would* be natural in a country other than the United States, where the default stance favors the company. If you want to give it theoretical justification, it goes something like this:

* Companies whose workers are covered by unions are less productive than non-unionized ones, essentially because unions are a form of monopoly of the labor force.
* In a free market, competitors will come in and produce the same goods for less money.
* Ergo, in a free market, unions will eventually disappear.

This does lead one to ask why places like the [newspaper: Wall Street Journal] turn this from a descriptive to a normative claim: not only *will* the free market kill unions, but the government should do all it can to bust up unions. There are many questions one could ask here — for instance, why workers shouldn’t be able to engage in whatever kind of voluntary organization they want — but we’ll set those aside for now.

What I want to get at here is that, in the U.S., we start our economic discussions at the individual-laborer or individual-firm level. We focus on individual widgets, and the most efficient production thereof. We focus on individual economic transactions, executed atomically. And the only way that we allow people to interact in a market is by way of price signaling: prices go up in the market for some good — let’s say steel — and everyone downstream from that good reacts appropriately: producing fewer cars, producing cars with marginally more plastic, etc.

There are problems with this model, which I’ve been writing about for quite a while (see Bowles and Stiglitz, say). But my point is more about the way we discuss these things: the U.S., no matter the state of the economic frontiers, starts with this particular atomic view of economics.

The Germans apparently start from entirely the opposite side of things, with an entirely different set of givens. For instance, suppose you know that you won’t be fired for a long while. This is going to lead to a much different world than the American one, where (as Geoghegan notes) we change jobs six times, on average, by age 30. Think of how much more willing we’d be to invest in skills and really view our companies as our partners.

Or, to really blow your mind, how about this: half of the membership in German boards of directors is named by the employees. Geoghegan gives the example of a Barnes & Noble: half of the directors of B&N, in Germany, would be named by its minimum-wage clerks. Consider the wide-ranging effects this would have, both on the way the company is run and on the very meaning of the word “democracy.” You’d have a say in how your work is run. Considering that half of your waking hours, or more, are spent at your job, any full-throated democracy should democratically control the workplace.

Thinking about economics in this broader way — over decades, over scores of products, over the entire cycle of education-employment-retirement — is just not something that the American economic discourse is ready to do. Every discussion essentially has to start with atomic transactions carried out by atomic laborers and signaling to one another only by means of prices.

In consequence, Germany blew Geoghegan’s mind just as much as it would have blown mine. Actually, I think maybe Geoghegan was faking it a bit, for the sake of his audience, in the same way that the fine folks at Planet Money do a lot of the time: He asks, “Now wait a second: you’re telling me that you could rise up from being a bookstore clerk to being on the *board of directors?*” just so that his interviewee can cast a genial smile upon him and say that verily, it is so.

Geoghegan casts himself as the naïf, wandering about in a perpetual daze. It’s absolutely charming. And his writing here carries the same folksy attitude that charmed everyone in [book: Which Side Are You On?]. He’s just a friend of yours, walking with you around Germany and asking everyone if he’s really stumbled into the dream world that he thinks he has.

Of course he wants to bring some of that world back to the U.S., but right now a true U.S. social democracy can only be described as a pipe dream. Lots of us (though not, I wager, Geoghegan) dreamed that Obama would bring New Deal version 2 to the U.S. after what looked like Great Depression version 2: the banks only continued to exist because the U.S. taxpayer paid for them to live, and a Democrat convincingly trounced the crotchety representative of the ruling party. Two years later, we ended up with sort-of-universal health insurance that hopefully won’t be revoked by the time it’s supposed to kick in, and the banks are more powerful than ever.

Actually, there’s another good example of where economics needs to consider the larger picture: we had a great chance to weaken the banks’ *political* power, and we didn’t take it. Banks have always been a special kind of entity, because (not to sound like too much of an idiot) that’s where the money comes from; no other industry can say that, and it gives banks a special role in the economy that no one else can claim. It also gives them *political* power that no one else has. For a short time, we had the power to neuter them politically and cut them down to size, thereby weakening their control of our leaders and making future bailouts less likely. But this entire line of thought doesn’t make sense unless you can picture companies in the context of an economy overseen by a government, and unless you can picture money as a special kind of thing that’s different from any other kind of commodity. (It wasn’t until Keynes, in the 1930s after economics had been around for two centuries, that the discipline started treating money as altogether different from wheat or rice.)

So it doesn’t look very likely that the U.S. will resemble Germany anytime soon. The best Geoghegan can hope for is that the rest of the European Union will follow Germany’s social-democratic lead. Maybe, if that happens, our closest industrial competitors will finally push us in the right direction.

There’s no one you want on your side more than Tom Geoghegan to understand this world. He’s funny, he’s smart, his ethics are on the side of the angels, and he’s been fighting for you for a long, long time.

Wenceslas Square Google Street View happy discovery of the day —

Wenceslas Square Google Street View happy discovery of the day

Years ago I went to Prague by myself and took a lot of (in retrospect very earnest and juvenile) notes in a diary. I remember very clearly being overwhelmed as I sat on the steps of the National Museum: in front of me was a very simple memorial to Jan Palach, who had committed suicide by lighting himself on fire in front of the Museum. The memorial was a tattered wooden cross embedded in the cobblestones on the street. Right across the street from the memorial … is a McDonald’s. My brain couldn’t handle the dissonance, and even now I get a little sick thinking of it.

I decided to see if both these details were in Google Street View. Indeed they are. Check out the Palach memorial, then turn about 45 degrees to your left.

The simplicity and solemnity of the one, against the ugliness and plasticity of the other, is haunting to me in a way that few other things are.

A note on genetically-modified foods and central planning — September 23, 2010

A note on genetically-modified foods and central planning

Reading Marion Nestle’s note on how hard it is to identify which foods are genetically modified, I can’t help but think of James Scott’s [book: Seeing Like A State]. Scott lumps industrial agriculture in with schemes to rationalize the organization of a nation. From the perspective of a central planner, putting people into an order that the state can understand is a great virtue. The state can’t appreciate that underlying the apparent chaos of a city is great order, in the sense that the city is exactly attuned to the needs of the people using it. (Istanbul, the most amazing place I’ve ever been, must scare the sleep out of Turkey’s leaders.)

Likewise, agricultural central planners can’t stand the chaos of a tangled mess of plants; they replace it with long geometric rows of single crops stretching off to the horizon. Of course, the natural chaos disguises great order underneath: often the multiple crops at a single site are food for multiple species of insects that eat one another remain in a kind of equilibrium. Get rid of the natural order and you’re required to spray pesticides to keep away the now-dominant species of insect. This leads to all the horrors we’re used to by now, like pesticide runoff into the Mississippi River, leading many miles later to a dead zone in the Gulf of Mexico.

When I read about the prospect of genetically-modified foods, those are the sort of traumas I think about. We make one change to something basic, like our food supply; it seems locally rational, but in the aggregate it’s disastrous. (Those in favor of GMOs need to explain why we need them. The onus is on them to tell us why they *won’t* be a disaster and why our non-genetically-engineered food supply doesn’t do the job.)

Industrial civilization is good for a lot of things, and has led to a breathtaking increase in the quality of life in Western civilization. I’m not decrying industrialization, and besides: what would be the point? Despite the justified awe we feel in the face of a small, local, sustainable closed-loop farm like Polyface, which Michael Pollan lovingly documents in [book: The Omnivore’s Dilemma], there’s no way we’re going to shift our entire food supply back to that.

In an industrial democracy, we respond to this kind of agricultural lunacy with regulation. We recognize that acts of individual rationality often lead to large-scale destruction, so we use the compulsive power of the government to stop the large-scale failures. Maybe we forbid GMOs, say. Or maybe we make it cheaper for customers to buy sustainable food, thereby shifting the micro-level incentives to get a better macro-level outcome.

What frightens me, though, is that the bad actors seem to always have a leg up on the government. Write your legislation carefully, but the bad guys will find the loopholes. Set your penalties too low, and it’ll be in the bad actors’ interests to break the law. Use tort law as the instrument of capitalist justice, but whom do we sue about the destruction of the Gulf of Mexico?

These are the industrial cards we’ve been dealt, so there’s nothing to do but play them.

Rosecrans Baldwin, You Lost Me There —

Rosecrans Baldwin, You Lost Me There

Cover of _You Lost Me There_: crimson background, white type, everything looking hand-drawn. There are also antlers studding the page. (It's possible that they're crossing axons.)
This is the debut novel for Rosecrans Baldwin, who in 1999 cofounded the always-excellent Morning News; it’s a charming first work. I’ve spent a couple days trying to figure out what’s so captivating about it. I’ve not entirely worked it out; but herewith, some thoughts.

The narrator, Victor Aaron, is a old-ish (not sure if he ever mentions his age, but it’s in the 60s) Alzheimer’s researcher on Maine’s Mount Desert Island at a presumably fictional research lab. His wife Sara has died in a car crash at some point in the recent past, though you wouldn’t know it by watching how people interact with him. Sara’s aunt, with whom Victor spends a lot of his time, hardly mentions Sara’s death, and Victor himself has been getting private performances from a 25-year-old curvaceous burlesque performer for a good long while — possibly even while he and Sara were married, or maybe just soon after she died.

That’s part of my confusion: is everyone just really selfish? Maybe Victor himself is just selfish? Maybe, as the narrator, he just doesn’t mention those things that don’t occur to him, and maybe he’s not thinking terribly much about his late wife. If others are bestowing sympathy on him, maybe he’s just not seeing it.

Victor is a busy researcher, spending most of his time writing grants and attending meetings and so forth. He’s working 20-hour days, and one gets the sense that he worked that much when he and Sara were married, too. For large fractions of their childless marriage, she never saw him. Somewhere along the way, though, Sara got her own stellar career: her screenplays took off, and one of them — [film: The Hook-Up] — got turned into a movie starring Bruce Willis. (The scenes where Victor chats with Willis at cocktail parties, or dreams about the man’s wisdom, are hilarious little snippets.) The tables turned: now *Sara* was the jet-setting one whom Victor never saw, and his jealousy got the better of him. They drifted further and further apart.

We find out about all this through a work of inspired narrative brilliance: Victor hunts through Sara’s office after her death, and finds a set of index cards that she prepared for her psychologist, describing important turning points in her life; each chapter of [book: You Lost Me There] corresponds to Victor’s reading the next index card. This serves three purposes. First, it’s just suspenseful. Second, it helps you get to know Sara; you wouldn’t have gotten to know her otherwise, because the narrator is off in his own world in which Sara may as well never have existed. Finally, and connected to the second: it gives you and Victor a glance at what others thought of him. What Victor discovers about himself is often ugly. And the characters’ solipsism disappears for a few minutes, as Victor realizes that there are others in the world whom he’s wronged and ignored.

So in a way, this is the first novel I’ve ever read that’s written from two distinct perspectives. We learn as we go along that Victor just cannot be trusted as a judge of his own life. As he realizes this, he slowly falls apart.

If such a flashlight were turned on any of the book’s other characters, it’s likely they’d feel just as much pain as Victor. Everyone in [book: You Lost Me There] seems selfish in his or her own way. Everyone’s drifting, from Victor’s teenage goddaughter who comes to stay with him for the summer, to the goddaughter’s father who hops from one bed to the next, to Victor himself, reclaiming his youth in a young girl’s bed. Everyone’s flailing around, trying to figure out what he’ll be when he grows up.

(Baldwin is in some ways the anti-Philip Roth, by the way. Victor can’t attain an erection despite several tries throughout [book: You Lost Me There], whereas you can’t read a Roth novel without some male character — typically old, transparently a stand-in for Roth himself — having completely implausible sex with a beautiful woman who’s helpless before the narrator’s powers. Even when Roth writes about the aging man’s loss of potency, as in [book: The Dying Animal], the Roth-stand-in still ends up having sex with voluptuous women young enough to be his daughter. Victor can’t get it up by the time we meet him, and he can’t get it up by the end.)

There are touches of enlightenment as we go along. Our characters get smacked around some, and come out bruised but maybe a little smarter and a little less self-involved. It’s never schmaltzy or sentimental, though: [book: You Lost Me There] is a realistic look at getting your head straightened out.

Unified messaging on the iPhone (or anywhere, really) — September 22, 2010

Unified messaging on the iPhone (or anywhere, really)

Know what would be really handy? To include all your friends’ and acquaintances’ contact info — including Twitter handles, Facebook profiles, phone numbers, email addresses, RSS feeds, [foreign: und so weiter] in some global address book (like the nice Gmail contacts list, which you can sync with a mobile device, and which I sync quite happily with the iPhone), then gather together all those items and make them on the device. Quite often a conversation starts via text message, moves over to email, maybe ends up in a voice chat, turns into a blog post, etc. Wouldn’t it be nice if the device could record your voice chats, or at least transcribe them?

Barring that, just being able to search text messages at the same time as you search emails would be a big win. Didn’t BitPim do this?

Choosing low-calorie meals (at the margin) — September 21, 2010

Choosing low-calorie meals (at the margin)

It’s one of the largely unpublicized but seemingly very important parts of the Affordable Care Act that restaurants with more than 20 establishments will have to start attaching calorie counts to their menu items. (This is in section 4205 of the bill. Because THOMAS links are still, bizarrely, after 15 years, inscrutable and impermanent, I’ve included that section below the fold.) I find this completely excellent. It may not end the obesity epidemic in this country, but it will certainly help at least some people make healthier decisions at restaurants. Quite often one just doesn’t know which items are unhealthy. It’s shocking how often a seemingly healthy menu item really isn’t; for instance, I got a Cobb salad from Cosí/Così just about every day for a few months, until I found on their website that it’s a 700-calorie salad. I no longer order that. At any lunch place that lists calories on the menu (Au Bon Pain, say), I routinely look for the lowest-calorie item. Even if I don’t pick that item, I look around the menu with that as a baseline. (The descriptor “low-calorie,” unfortunately, often means the same thing that “diet” does on soft drinks [which I also never drink]: “a natural-tasting ingredient has been replaced with the finest gross-tasting chemicals that Northern New Jersey petrochemical plants could churn out.”)

So I give huge thumbs up to this innovation. It may not solve anything, but it’ll help.

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